Week 13, division game, and Billy walks in riding back-to-back wins in this series. Scott hasn't beaten him since the playoffs — which is the one data point he can actually hang his hat on, because playoff wins count more and Scott knows it. These two have played close enough to draw blood before (0.32 points in 2019, if you need a reminder of how thin the margin gets), and a division game in Week 13 doesn't leave much room for comfort either way.