Tony owns the playoff ledger in this one — 3–1 lifetime when it counts — but the regular season is a different conversation, and Week 3 of the league's 20th season is where Spencer gets a shot to rewrite the narrative on his own turf. These two have played some tight ones (a 0.72-point margin in 2017 is the kind of scar that doesn't fully heal), and Spencer's 2–3 skid in the last five meetings suggests the gap isn't closing as fast as Loveland Island would like. Division game. Early season. You've seen this movie before — the question is whether it ends the same way.