Wade leads this series 14–10, but Tony has never lost to him when it actually mattered — 2-0 in playoff meetings, and the closest Wade ever got was a 2-point heartbreaker in 2016. Week 6 is still regular season, but with no results on the board yet for either side, both of these guys are still writing their 2026 story. You've seen this movie enough times to know Wade has the series edge and Tony has the moment edge — which one shows up today is the whole question.